{"id":8704,"date":"2021-06-17T17:05:46","date_gmt":"2021-06-17T11:20:46","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/english.kathmandupati.com\/?p=8704"},"modified":"2021-06-17T17:20:36","modified_gmt":"2021-06-17T11:35:36","slug":"testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nihar-nayak","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/english.kathmandupati.com\/?p=8704","title":{"rendered":"Testing Times for Democracy in Nepal-Nihar Nayak"},"content":{"rendered":"<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The President of Nepal, Bidya Devi Bhandari, on May 22, exercising her power under Article 76(7) on the advice of Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli, dissolved the House of Representatives or the Lower House of the Nepal Parliament and announced fresh elections. This decision was taken after political parties failed to form a new government under Article 76(5) of the constitution. The president\u2019s office in a statement said: \u201cWhile considering the fact that same members have been counted on both sides [K.P. Sharma Oli and Sher Bahadur Deuba], members have supported one another against the party decision and request from the concerned party to disregard their support \u2026 both the claims to obtain vote of confidence of the House of Representatives as per the Article 76(5) of the Constitution to be appointed as the Prime Minister do not stand valid.\u201d<a id=\"footnoteref1_4azpqhe\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"\u201cRight Honourable President rejects both the claims to be appointed as the Prime Minister as per the Article 76(5) of the Constitution of Nepal\u201d, Press Release, Office of the President of Nepal, May 21, 2021.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote1_4azpqhe\">1<\/a>\u00a0Therefore, neither of them could form a new government by May 21 (9:00 pm), as per the deadline set by the President a day before.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">This is the second time the House has been dissolved in last five months. Previously, it was dissolved in December 2020. The Supreme Court, however, had reinstated the House on February 23, 2021, after hearing over a dozen writ petitions questioning the decision to dissolve the House.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Like last year, this time too, the decision to dissolve the House was met with overwhelming resistance from across the Nepali society and the opposition parties. The latter criticised the decision as being authoritarian and anti-constitutional. Prime Minister Oli did not follow the laid out constitutional procedures like testifying confidence in the House within 30 days. He also did not resign after losing the confidence motion on May 10 and again on May 20 this year. The opposition criticised President Bhandari for showing parochialism and also allocating a very short time (21 hours) to the opposition parties to form the government. They have filed writ petitions in the Supreme Court against the decision and a constitutional bench has been formed under the Chief Justice along with four senior judges of the Supreme Court.<\/p>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>The Unfolding Crisis<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Despite the promulgation of a new constitution in September 2015, which was supposed to provide political stability, the country has witnessed a recurring political crisis. The top leaders, often, were more interested in grabbing power by punishing rival factions within the party, splitting parties, and stoking anti-India sentiments to shore up nationalism and hide incompetence. In this context, one needs to analyse three major factors that have precipitated the constitutional crisis in Nepal.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">First, the intensification of factional conflict in the erstwhile Nepal Communist Party (NCP) due to the failure of the power-sharing deal between the Oli and the Pushp Kamal Dahal alias Prachanda faction. The said political deal was concluded before the formation of the NCP, which came into being with the merger of the Communist Party of Nepal-Unified Marxist-Leninist (CPN-UML) and the Maoist Centre (MC) in May 2018.\u00a0 As per the deal, it was agreed that: (1) the two leaders would equally share the prime ministerial tenure, 2) Prachanda would hold the co-chairmanship of the NCP with executive powers, (3) sharing of cabinet seats should be in accordance with the pre-election deal (60:40, the CPN-UML got 60 per cent seats and the MC got 40 per cent seats), and (4) the prime minister and the chairman of the party would consult the senior leaders in party matters.<a id=\"footnoteref2_y25dfil\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"\u201cNepal PM Oli, Prachanda strike power-sharing deal\u201d, The Tribune, September 12, 2020.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote2_y25dfil\">2<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Since the formation of the NCP, the top leaders of the party have often accused each other of not abiding by the deal. Factionalism reached its zenith in April 2020, when Oli issued an ordinance on the Political Parties Act.<a id=\"footnoteref3_0ur02sj\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"The Oli cabinet had introduced two ordinances - related to political parties and the constitutional council, on April 20, 2020. The ordinances were withdrawn after four days due to protests from the opposition parties. The ordinance related to political parties was an attempt to amend an existing provision in the Political Parties Act that requires 40 per cent support from both the party central committee and the parliamentary party to split. After the amendment, a split vote would have required 40 per cent support from either the central committee or the parliamentary party.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote3_0ur02sj\">3<\/a>\u00a0The objective was to demonstrate his dominant position in the government and within the party to his rival factions. The motive was also to split both the NCP and also the smaller parties of the Terai region who would join the government in case the rival faction led by Prachanda withdraws support. Most importantly, the Chinese initiative of a new power-sharing agreement between Oli and Prachanda in September 2020 could not prevent the party from forming two separate organisational structures within the NCP.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The intra-party factionalism came to an end after the Supreme Court scrapped the merger of the CPN-UML and the MC on March 7, 2021. However, the legacy of factionalism reappeared in the revived CPN-UML. It is believed that the anti-Oli faction led by Madhav Kumar Nepal had voted against the Oli Government on May 10. Some media reports in fact hinted that Madhav Kumar Nepal\u2019s faction of the CPN-UML had allegedly supported a Nepali Congress (NC)-led initiative to form a new government under Article 76(5) on May 20, 2021.<a id=\"footnoteref4_nlqard5\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"\u201cPolitical ball now in Nepal\u2019s Supreme Court\u201d, Nepali Times, May 24, 2021.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote4_nlqard5\">4<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Second, there has been a lack of clarity on the interpretation of Article 76 and related clauses as the constitution is silent on the following issues:<\/p>\n<ul style=\"text-align: justify;\">\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li>There is no mention of the \u2018resignation\u2019 of the Prime Minister after losing the vote of confidence.<\/li>\n<li>There is also no mention of the \u2018requirement of signatures\u2019 of the Members of Parliament (MP) in the government formation claim document after the failure of the Prime Minister to prove the majority under article 76(2, 3 and 5).<\/li>\n<li>The article and related clauses are also silent about whether a government that has lost the confidence vote could form the government again. Similarly, the article does not specify the number of days to be allocated by the President to form a new government.<\/li>\n<li>There is also confusion about whether the Prime Minister who has lost confidence can advise the President to dissolve the House. For example, under article 76(5), until and unless the process for a new government formation is completed, the Prime Minister cannot advise the dissolution of the House. In fact, that was the reason why the Supreme Court had reinstated the House of Representatives on February 23, 2021.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Third, there are pieces of evidence of parliamentary procedural lapse by both the ruling and opposition parties. As enshrined in Article 76, the Prime Minister has to test his\/her majority on the floor of the House. Oli only did that on May 10. He skipped the process on May 20.\u00a0 He was supposed to do the floor test on that day since he was reappointed as the Prime Minister on May 13 under Article 76(3). However, he just announced and informed the President that he does not have a majority in the House.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">As mentioned in the Nepal Constitution, the Prime Minister has to be \u2018relieved\u2019 from the office upon losing the majority in the House. For example, Article 100(6) clearly says \u201cif a motion of no confidence tabled under clause (4) is passed by a majority of the total number of the then members of the House of Representatives, the Prime Minister shall relieve of his or her office.\u201d<a id=\"footnoteref5_xi2basu\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"\u201cThe Constitution of Nepal\u201d, Ministry of Law, Justice and Parliamentary Affairs, Law Books Management Board, Kathmandu, September 2016, p. 69.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote5_xi2basu\">5<\/a> Therefore, as per the above mentioned article, Prime Minister Oli should have resigned after failing to prove the majority in the House.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Interestingly, after Prime Minister Oli\u2019s CPN-UML became the largest party in the House on March 7, 2021, as the NCP ceased to exist as a party, and the MC recalled its ministers from the cabinet on March 13, the opposition parties did not table the no-confidence motion against him.<\/p>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Implications of the Crisis<\/h4>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The public faith in the country\u2019s constitution and political system has eroded drastically in last one year, since the ordinance related to Political Party Act was issued by the Oli Government in April 2020. The new political system introduced by the constitution has been repeatedly misused by the ruling party. This has set a wrong precedent in the Nepal polity. Public disenchantment towards the new system manifested in a series of rallies and protests. The pro-royalist organisations even began discussing the revival of the monarchical system. During October-November 2020, a series of pro-monarchy rallies were organised across the country.<a id=\"footnoteref6_64eqqxs\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"\u201cThese are the forces behind recent royalist demonstrations in Nepal\u201d, Onlinekhabar, Kathmandu, December 01, 2020.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote6_64eqqxs\">6<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Another new trend was division in other political parties in favour or against the constitutional action taken by the Oli Government. For example, factionalism intensified in the Janata Samajwadi Party (JSP), which was formed in April 2020 after the merger of two Terai-based parties &#8211; the Samajwadi Party (SP) and the Janata Party (JP). Most importantly, some new political alliances &#8212; CPN-UML and JSP, the NC-led alliance with the MC, the Madhav Kumar Nepal faction from the CPN-UML, and the Upendra Yadav faction from the JSP &#8212; were formed based on political opportunism and without any ideological basis.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">These intra-party and inter-party bickerings have impacted governance in the country. The government miserably failed to manage the second wave of COVID-19 as the country witnessed a massive surge in COVID-related infections and deaths, and also a downfall in economic growth. There was an increase in unemployment which forced people to engage in illegal activities like gold smuggling, human trafficking, drug trafficking, etc.<\/p>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: justify;\">No Point Blaming India<\/h4>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Three former prime ministers of Nepal &#8211; Prachanda, Sher Bahadur Deuba and Baburam Bhattarai &#8211; have accused Prime Minister Oli of dissolving the Parliament at India\u2019s direction. Bhattarai in his joint opinion piece published in\u00a0<em>The Hindu<\/em>\u00a0on May 29 stated that \u201c\u2026Oli is in collusion with Hindu monarchical forces in Nepal and the Rashtriya Swayamsevak Sangh in India\u201d to dismantle the Nepal Constitution.<a id=\"footnoteref7_zn4w4ki\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"Atul K. Thakur and Baburam Bhattarai, \u201cDemocracy at stake in Nepal\u201d, The Hindu, May 29, 2021.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote7_zn4w4ki\">7<\/a>\u00a0These accusations were made despite India treating the political developments as \u2018internal issues\u2019 of the country, and even as the Chinese ambassador conducted open consultation on internal matters of Nepal with political leaders and constitutional authorities of the country.<a id=\"footnoteref8_yyhu5zd\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"Anil Giri, \u201cChinese ambassador making the rounds at a time of internal crisis invites much criticism\u201d, The Kathmandu Post, July 06, 2020.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote8_yyhu5zd\">8<\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">The spokesperson of the Ministry of External Affairs (MEA) in a statement issued on May 26 clearly stated that India views the recent political developments in Nepal as \u201cinternal matters\u201d of the country to be dealt under its \u201cown domestic framework and democratic processes.\u201d<a id=\"footnoteref9_03opt31\" class=\"see-footnote\" title=\"\u201cOfficial Spokesperson's response to media queries on recent political developments in Nepal\u201d, Ministry of External Affairs, Government of India, May 26, 2021.\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnote9_03opt31\">9<\/a>\u00a0Such accusations appear all the more baseless and unfounded because of the following reasons:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">First, it may be noted that Prime Minister Oli has been one of the most influential Chairman of the UML since July 2014. He has also been the most powerful prime minister in the post-constitution period. He had secured close to an absolute majority in the House of Representatives due to the merger of the MC with the CPN-UML in the post-election period. His government also had issue-based support from the SP and the JP until the end of 2019. Therefore, he did not require any external support to remain in power and function independently.<\/p>\n<p>Second, though Prime Minister Oli\u2019s CPN-UML turned into the largest party in the House after the Supreme Court verdict of March 7, 2021, it continued to enjoy a majority till May 4 as the MC did not withdraw its support to the government. However, his party had to explore the possibility of seeking support from the JSP. As a result, in the emerging new political alignment, the JSP emerged as a kingmaker in Nepal politics following the SC verdict.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">From the JSP\u2019s point of view (especially for the Mahantha Thakur faction), the political situation provided a golden opportunity to address the remaining Madhesi issues that were not addressed by the 2015 Constitution. The Thakur faction was more seriously looking towards the redressal of Madhesi issues, unlike the Upendra Yadav faction. The Thakur faction was aware that if their demands are accepted by the largest party in the parliament, then the NC would not oppose this political accommodation because the NC is politically dependent on the Terai region. The Thakur faction also felt more comfortable dealing with the CPN-UML because previously when it tried to negotiate with the NC, it remained silent on addressing the Madhesi demands for the fear of losing hill votes. This was perhaps the reason why opposition parties, including the NC, remained silent on the citizenship ordinance, which the President issued on May 23, 2021.<\/p>\n<h4 style=\"text-align: justify;\">Summing Up<\/h4>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">It is clear that Prime Minister Oli has survived in power due to his strong leadership within the party and in the government, support from the MC, failure of the opposition parties to table a no-confidence motion against his government after March 2021, and finally, due to the convergence of interest between the CPN-UML and the Mahantha Thakur faction of the JSP. However, for now, all eyes are set on whether the Supreme Court would validate the President\u2019s action.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Nihar R Nayak is Research Fellow at Manohar Parrikar Institute for Defence Studies and Analyses, New Delhi.<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul class=\"footnotes\">\n<li id=\"footnote1_4azpqhe\" class=\"footnote\"><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/president.gov.np\/right-honourable-president-rejects-both-the-claims-to-be-appointed-as-the-prime-minister-as-per-the-article-765-of-the-constitution-of-nepal\/\">\u201cRight Honourable President rejects both the claims to be appointed as the Prime Minister as per the Article 76(5) of the Constitution of Nepal\u201d<\/a><\/strong>, Press Release,\u00a0<em>Office of the President of Nepal<\/em>, May 21, 2021.<\/li>\n<li id=\"footnote2_y25dfil\" class=\"footnote\"><a class=\"footnote-label\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnoteref2_y25dfil\">2.<\/a><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.tribuneindia.com\/news\/world\/nepal-pm-oli-prachanda-strike-power-sharing-deal-140188\">\u201cNepal PM Oli, Prachanda strike power-sharing deal\u201d<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0<em>The Tribune<\/em>, September 12, 2020.<\/li>\n<li id=\"footnote3_0ur02sj\" class=\"footnote\"><a class=\"footnote-label\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnoteref3_0ur02sj\">3.<\/a>The Oli cabinet had introduced two ordinances &#8211; related to political parties and the constitutional council, on April 20, 2020. The ordinances were withdrawn after four days due to protests from the opposition parties. The ordinance related to political parties was an attempt to amend an existing provision in the Political Parties Act that requires 40 per cent support from both the party central committee and the parliamentary party to split. After the amendment, a split vote would have required 40 per cent support from either the central committee or the parliamentary party.<\/li>\n<li id=\"footnote4_nlqard5\" class=\"footnote\"><a class=\"footnote-label\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnoteref4_nlqard5\">4.<\/a><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nepalitimes.com\/latest\/political-ball-now-in-nepals-supreme-court\/\">\u201cPolitical ball now in Nepal\u2019s Supreme Court\u201d<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0<em>Nepali Times<\/em>, May 24, 2021.<\/li>\n<li id=\"footnote5_xi2basu\" class=\"footnote\"><a class=\"footnote-label\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnoteref5_xi2basu\">5.<\/a>\u201cThe Constitution of Nepal\u201d,\u00a0<em>Ministry of Law, Justice and Parliamentary Affairs<\/em>, Law Books Management Board, Kathmandu, September 2016, p. 69.<\/li>\n<li id=\"footnote6_64eqqxs\" class=\"footnote\"><a class=\"footnote-label\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnoteref6_64eqqxs\">6.<\/a><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/english.onlinekhabar.com\/these-are-the-forces-behind-recent-royalist-demonstrations-in-nepal.html\">\u201cThese are the forces behind recent royalist demonstrations in Nepal\u201d<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0<em>Onlinekhabar<\/em>, Kathmandu, December 01, 2020.<\/li>\n<li id=\"footnote7_zn4w4ki\" class=\"footnote\"><a class=\"footnote-label\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnoteref7_zn4w4ki\">7.<\/a>Atul K. Thakur and Baburam Bhattarai,\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.thehindu.com\/opinion\/lead\/democracy-at-stake-in-nepal\/article34670930.ece\">\u201cDemocracy at stake in Nepal\u201d<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0<em>The Hindu<\/em>, May 29, 2021.<\/li>\n<li id=\"footnote8_yyhu5zd\" class=\"footnote\"><a class=\"footnote-label\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnoteref8_yyhu5zd\">8.<\/a>Anil Giri,\u00a0<strong><a href=\"https:\/\/kathmandupost.com\/national\/2020\/07\/06\/chinese-ambassador-making-the-rounds-at-a-time-of-internal-crisis-invites-much-criticism\">\u201cChinese ambassador making the rounds at a time of internal crisis invites much criticism\u201d<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0<em>The Kathmandu Post<\/em>, July 06, 2020.<\/li>\n<li id=\"footnote9_03opt31\" class=\"footnote\"><a class=\"footnote-label\" href=\"https:\/\/www.idsa.in\/idsacomments\/testing-times-for-democracy-in-nepal-nrnayak-170621#footnoteref9_03opt31\">9.<\/a><strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mea.gov.in\/response-to-queries.htm?dtl\/33876\/Official_Spokespersons_response_to_media_queries_on_recent_political_developments_in_Nepal\">\u201cOfficial Spokesperson&#8217;s response to media queries on recent political developments in Nepal\u201d<\/a><\/strong>,\u00a0<em>Ministry of External Affairs<\/em>, Government of India, May 26, 2021.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The President of Nepal, Bidya Devi Bhandari, on May 22, exercising her power under Article 76(7) on the advice of Prime Minister K.P. Sharma Oli, dissolved the House of Representatives or the Lower House of the Nepal Parliament and announced fresh elections. This decision was taken after political parties failed to form a new government [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":8705,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[6],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-opinion"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Testing Times for Democracy in Nepal-Nihar Nayak - KathmanduPati<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/english.kathmandupati.com\/?p=8704\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Testing Times for Democracy in Nepal-Nihar Nayak - KathmanduPati\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The President of Nepal, Bidya Devi Bhandari, on May 22, exercising her power under Article 76(7) on the advice of Prime Minister K.P. 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